The round of 16 delivered shock results as tournament favorites Man City and Inter Milan were eliminated by Al Hilal and Fluminense, respectively.

Chelsea is the biggest beneficiary of these upsets. The Premier League representative will meet Palmeiras in the quarter-finals. If they advance, they will face the winner of the Al Hilal and Fluminense match in the semi-finals.

Opta's predictions for the remaining teams in the FIFA Club World Cup 2025. Image: Opta

Opta's predictions for the remaining teams in the FIFA Club World Cup 2025. Image: Opta

Before the round of 16, Opta's supercomputer predicted PSG as the favorite to win, with a 20.6% chance. Chelsea's chances of reaching the final were estimated at 21.2%, with a 10.4% chance of winning the tournament.

However, following the unexpected results, Chelsea is now considered the top contender. After 10,000 simulations, Opta gives Chelsea a 57.9% chance of reaching the final and a 26.8% chance of winning the title. PSG has dropped to second place, with a 35.6% chance of making the final and a 24.9% chance of winning.

Meanwhile, Palmeiras has a 13.7% chance of reaching the final and a 3% chance of winning the championship.

Hong Duy