Uruguay - Spain: Yamal starts

Kick-off at 7h. Spain plays its final Group H match against Uruguay at Guadalajara stadium. Simultaneously, Cape Verde faces Arab Saudi in Houston.

Uruguay faces a decisive match against Spain in the final round of World Cup 2026 Group H, following two consecutive draws against Arab Saudi and Cape Verde. Marcelo Bielsa's squad has only a 36,4% chance of advancing to the round of 16, according to Opta's analytics. In contrast, Spain has already secured their spot and has an 84,7% probability of maintaining the top spot in the group.

Uruguayan fans cheer during their opening Group H World Cup 2026 match against Arab Saudi, at Miami stadium in the US on 15/6. Photo: AP

Uruguayan fans cheer during their opening Group H World Cup 2026 match against Arab Saudi, at Miami stadium in the US on 15/6. Photo: AP

Spain is also highly favored to win, with a 62,4% chance, thanks to their consistent form and a solid defense that has not conceded in their last three World Cup matches. Meanwhile, Uruguay is under significant pressure, having never been eliminated from the group stage in two consecutive World Cups. A defeat would lead to Uruguay's elimination, while a draw would likely be enough to see them through.

History also does not favor the South American team, as they have won only one of nine World Cup matches held in Mexico. For Spain, the spotlight remains on 18-year-old talent Lamine Yamal, who recently scored against Arab Saudi and has the opportunity to match Pele's record if he scores in a second consecutive World Cup match while still a teenager.