Thailand will face Vietnam at 7:30 h today, 29/9, with live coverage on VnExpress.

According to Football Predictions AI, Vietnam is predicted to win 3-0. This specific score is provided by the model for the match, alongside its assessment that Vietnam is likely to win and that the game will feature three or more goals. The model also predicts that only one team will score.

Vietnam's chance of winning is estimated at 31%, while the probability of the match having over 2,5 goals is nearly 49%. Specifically, a 0-3 scoreline corresponds to approximately a 1,6% probability according to the site's model.

Nguyen Dinh Bac dribbles past a Thai player in the ASEAN Cup 2026 final at My Dinh Stadium, Hanoi, on 26/8. *Photo: Ngoc Thanh*

Football Predictions AI does not disclose its specific mathematical formula, the weight of each variable, or the actual probability for a 0-3 match outcome. This Portugal-registered site merely describes its results as being generated by an "AI algorithm".

During the ASEAN Cup 2026, this site accurately or nearly accurately predicted the scores of many key Vietnam matches. The only match it correctly predicted was the semi-final second leg against Malaysia, with a score of 2-0. In the 3-0 victory over Indonesia, Vietnam was predicted to win 4-0. For the first leg of the semi-final, the site predicted a 4-0 win for the national team, but the score was only 2-0. And in the first leg of the final, Vietnam was expected to win 3-0, but the score was 2-0.

The 0-3 prediction favoring Vietnam in the upcoming match indicates a larger predicted gap between the two teams compared to other sources. The English sports site Daily Sports assessed that Vietnam has an advantage due to recent head-to-head results and predicted a win for coach Kim Sang-sik's team, but did not provide a specific score.

Vietnam enters the match on the back of its ASEAN Cup 2026 championship win in August. The two teams recently met twice in the final of that tournament. Vietnam won 2-0 away in the first leg, then drew 2-2 in the second leg at My Dinh to be crowned champions with an aggregate score of 4-2.

This result extends Vietnam's good run of form against Thailand. The national team is undefeated in its 4 most recent encounters against this opponent, with three victories and one draw. Among these, the two most recent matches were the two legs of the ASEAN Cup 2026 final.

However, Thailand has reasons to believe they can produce a different outcome compared to the final over a month ago. Coach Anthony Hudson now has a more complete squad, featuring experienced players like Chanathip Songkrasin and Nicholas Mickelson, along with forwards Supachai Chaided, Supachok Sarachat, and Jude Soonsup-Bell.

Goalkeeper Le Giang Patrik and forward Williams Minh Hoang celebrate after Vietnam's one-zero victory over the Philippines in the first match of Group B, FIFA ASEAN Cup 2026, at Si Jalak Harupat Stadium, Bandung, Indonesia, on 26/9. *Photo: Duc Dong*

Teerasak Poeiphimai made an impact in Thailand's opening match of the FIFA ASEAN Cup 2026, scoring two goals to help them defeat Pakistan 4-0. This victory gives coach Hudson's team a strong start and added confidence ahead of their match against Vietnam.

Midfielder Chaiyaphon Otton also believes Thailand is significantly different from the squad that lost to Vietnam in the ASEAN Cup 2026 final. According to the Port FC player, Thailand now has a more complete squad, with many key players having returned. He believes his team can defeat Vietnam.

"There is definitely a difference this time, because when we met them before, our squad was not as complete as it is now", Chaiyaphon told Thairath. "This is our strongest squad, so we will play better than before". The player also affirmed that he and his teammates are determined to win.

Meanwhile, Vietnam has retained most of the squad that successfully defended its regional championship. Midfielder Nguyen Quang Hai is injured and cannot participate in the tournament. Forward Nguyen Xuan Son suffered a serious injury in the opening match and had to withdraw from the tournament early. Midfielder Nguyen Hoang Duc also remains doubtful for the match.

However, the team also features new faces such as Nguyen Adou Leygley Minh, Williams Minh Hoang, and Ngo Dang Khoa. These players all featured in the one-zero victory over the Philippines in the opening match.

According to an English newspaper, coach Kim Sang-sik has gained more experience facing Thailand, which could be a decisive factor in the match. In the two ASEAN Cup finals in August, Vietnam won 2-0 in the first leg and then drew 2-2 in the second leg. Vietnam's playing style then involved controlling midfield combinations while exploiting space behind Thailand's defense upon winning back possession.

This match will take place on a neutral ground in Bandung, rather than either team's home stadium. This means the home-ground advantage will have less impact compared to the first leg of the ASEAN Cup final. According to Indonesian newspaper Tribunnews, even with Thailand's strongest squad, Vietnam is still predicted to win 2-1.

Xuan Binh compiled