Mexico won all three group stage matches, defeating South Africa, South Korea, and the Czech Republic respectively. The team scored 6 goals without conceding any. This marks the first time since the 1986 World Cup on home soil that they have kept three consecutive clean sheets. If Mexico continues its streak against Ecuador, the team will set a new record of 4 clean sheets in a single World Cup tournament.
Forward Julian Quinones is also in excellent form, having scored two goals in the group stage. He has the opportunity to become the second Mexican player to score in three matches in a single World Cup, following Luis Hernandez in 1998.
Meanwhile, Ecuador advanced to the knockout stage with a 2-1 comeback victory over Germany. Coach Sebastian Beccacece's team did not score in their first two matches but secured progression from the group stage with a decisive win against the former world champions. Ecuador also impressed with an aggressive pressing style, ranking among the most effective high-pressure teams in the tournament.
Mexico is favored due to its home advantage at Azteca Stadium and a record of losing only one of 12 World Cup matches played there. According to the Opta supercomputer, the home team has a 47,1% chance of winning in 90 minutes, compared to Ecuador's 23,7%. Including extra time and penalties, Mexico's chances of reaching the quarterfinals are 61%, while Ecuador's are 39%.
Xuan Binh