There are 9 scenarios related to the outcomes for Tottenham and West Ham. However, only one scenario would relegate Tottenham to the Championship: Roberto De Zerbi's team losing to Everton at home, coupled with West Ham defeating Leeds.

According to statistical model predictions, Tottenham's chances of survival remain at approximately 90%. However, given the events of this season, fans of the London club have reason to fear the worst.

Anxiety grows as Tottenham Hotspur Stadium no longer provides a home advantage. The Lilywhites have not won their last 10 home matches in the Premier League, securing only two home victories all season (drawing 6, losing 10). Tonight's atmosphere in London is anticipated to be exceptionally tense.

Tottenham currently holds a two-point lead over West Ham and possesses a superior goal difference (-10 compared to -22). Therefore, they only need to draw against Everton to almost certainly remain in the Premier League.

Tottenham (white kit) during their 3-0 victory over West Ham at London Stadium, England on 13/9/2025. Photo: Reuters

Few would have imagined such a rapid reversal of fortunes. Late last October, Tottenham defeated Everton 3-0 to rank third in the Premier League, just 5 points behind league leaders Arsenal. Seven months later, Spurs have gone through three different managers, lost 6 consecutive matches for the first time in their history, and extended their winless streak to 15 domestic league matches.

But the nightmare might not be over yet. Tottenham faces the risk of relegation for the first time in 49 years. It is no exaggeration to say this is Tottenham's biggest match in years. The club's future hangs in the balance, and the prospect of relegation is something Tottenham fans have never dared to contemplate.

A decline during the crucial phase has left West Ham without control of their own fate in the survival race. The East London club reported a loss exceeding 125 million USD in its latest financial report and is expected to generate over 120 million USD from player sales if they fail to avoid relegation.

Both Tottenham and West Ham are considered to possess enough potential to quickly return to the Premier League. However, should the worst-case scenario unfold, a financial shock and a player exodus could mean either London club takes many years to fully recover. Key players like Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, and Richarlison are almost certain to depart if Spurs are relegated, while Jarrod Bowen is unlikely to remain at West Ham with Chelsea and Newcastle closely pursuing him.

Vy Anh