Portugal enters their 2026 World Cup round of 16 clash against Croatia at Toronto stadium as favorites. The Opta supercomputer predicts a 56,2% win probability for Portugal in 90 minutes, compared to 19,5% for Croatia. Historically, Portugal holds a strong advantage, having won seven, drawn two, and lost only one of their 10 encounters. They also remain unbeaten in all six official matches against Croatia.

Coach Roberto Martinez's squad navigated the group stage unbeaten, securing one win and two draws. However, they displayed attacking limitations, registering only 37 shots and 12 shots on target – among their lowest tallies at a World Cup since 2018.

Despite Cristiano Ronaldo's two goals against Uzbekistan, he has yet to score in a World Cup knockout round, a drought spanning eight matches and 29 shots. In midfield, Vitinha has been a linchpin, completing 270 passes in the group stage – a record for a Portugal player at this stage in history.

Croatia secured their spot in the round of 16 with victories over Panama and Ghana, following an initial loss to England. Should he feature, Luka Modric will make his 23rd World Cup appearance, matching the records of Paolo Maldini and Manuel Neuer.

Xuan Binh