Turkey and Paraguay enter the match at San Francisco under immense pressure, having both failed to secure points in their opening Group D matches of the 2026 World Cup. According to Opta's simulation, Turkey is favored with a 48,4% chance of winning, while Paraguay's win probability stands at 25,5%, and a draw is at 26%.

Forward Kenan Yildiz during a training session one day before the match. Photo: Reuters

Turkey's 0-2 defeat to Australia was disappointing, but the score did not fully reflect the game's dynamics. Vincenzo Montella's squad unleashed 30 shots, the most by a team failing to score in a World Cup match since 2006. Arda Guler alone had 8 attempts, and the midfield consistently created penetrating passes, only to be denied by an outstanding performance from goalkeeper Patrick Beach.

On the opposing side, Paraguay suffered a heavy 1-4 loss to host nation USA. The South American team, known for its solid defense, conceded three goals in the first half and repeatedly made dangerous turnovers in their own half. Despite this, Paraguay still possesses players capable of creating breakthroughs, such as Julio Enciso and Miguel Almiron.

The San Francisco encounter is anticipated to be a contest between two contrasting styles. Turkey is expected to dominate possession and initiate attacks, while Paraguay will likely seek opportunities for quick counter-attacks. Given their superior squad quality and positive tactical indications from their opening match, the European side is considered to have a greater chance of securing three points.

Xuan Binh